Статии, книги, филми, проучвания, доклади около ГЛОБАЛНОТО ЗАТОПЛЯНЕ

[bismarck]

Ама как не могат без манипулация. Защо не са сложили 12 и 17? Де3а.

[Stringmeteo]

Earth’s Future Climate at 9km Worldwide Resolution
July 18, 2025

Global Warming does not affect our planet evenly. Some areas such as the Arctic region or high mountain peaks warm faster than the global average, whereas others, including large parts of the tropical oceans, show reduced temperature trends compared to the mean. The heterogeneity of future rainfall patterns is even more pronounced. To adapt to future climate change, policymakers and stakeholders need detailed regional climate information, often on scales much smaller than the typical resolution (~100-200 km) of climate models used in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

A team of scientists from the IBS Center for Climate Physics (ICCP), Pusan National University in South Korea and the Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI), Bremerhaven, Germany has achieved an important breakthrough in climate modeling, providing unprecedented insights into Earth’s future climate and its variability. Their research was published in the open access journal Earth System Dynamics.

Utilizing the AWI-CM3 earth system model, a novel iterative global modeling protocol, and two of South Korea’s fastest supercomputers (Aleph at the Institute for Basic Science and Guru at the Korea Meteorological Administration), the researchers have simulated climate change at scales of 9 km in the atmosphere and 4-25 km in the ocean. These extensive computer model simulations offer a more accurate representation of future climate conditions, enabling better planning for climate adaptation.
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[Stringmeteo]

The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink Free
Published: 29 October 2025

We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer future threats but are here now. This unfolding emergency stems from failed foresight, political inaction, unsustainable economic systems, and misinformation. Almost every corner of the biosphere is reeling from intensifying heat, storms, floods, droughts, or fires. The window to prevent the worst outcomes is rapidly closing. In early 2025, the World Meteorological Organization reported that 2024 was the hottest year on record (WMO 2025a). This was likely hotter than the peak of the last interglacial, roughly 125,000 years ago (Gulev et al. 2021, Kaufman and McKay 2022). Rising levels of greenhouse gases remain the driving force behind this escalation. These recent developments emphasize the extreme insufficiency of global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mark the beginning of a grim new chapter for life on Earth.
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[vedrin]

Instability in the geological regulation of Earth’s climate
Dominik Hülse, Andy Ridgwell, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California, Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA, 25 September 2025, Science

«The stabilization of Earth’s climate by negative feedbacks between atmospheric carbon dioxide and silicate rocks can potentially be overridden by faster processes causing rapid burial of large amounts of organic carbon. Hülse and Ridgwell report model results showing how high rates of organic carbon burial caused by elevated levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, climate-sensitive phosphorous mineral weathering, and phosphate regeneration from marine sediments can turn warming events into ice ages. The juxtaposition of these conditions might help to explain the origins of past “snowball” climates such as those seen in the Neoproterozoic.»


Sequence of events induced by massive CO2 release. The path traces the time evolution (dark through light colors) of the modeled change in global mean surface air temperature (y axis) versus ocean phosphate (x axis) inventory. Different states of rising and falling global temperature (°C) and P inventory (as % change) are highlighted, alongside age [thousand years (kyr)]. The black and red arrows in the insets represent C and P fluxes, respectively. Pco2, partial pressure of CO2 in the atmosphere.

[Stringmeteo]

Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
Published: 22 February 2022

Abstract
Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) quantifies the solar energy received by the Earth and therefore is of direct relevance for a possible solar influence on climate change on Earth. We analyse the TSI space measurements from 1991 to 2021, and we derive a regression model that reproduces the measured daily TSI variations with a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.17 W/m2. The daily TSI regression model uses the MgII core to wing ratio as a facular brightening proxy and the Photometric Sunspot Index (PSI) as a measure of sunspot darkening. We reconstruct the annual mean TSI backwards to 1700 based on the Sunspot Number (SN), calibrated on the space measurements with an RMSE of 0.086 W/m2. The analysis of the 11 year running mean TSI reconstruction confirms the existence of a 105 year Gleissberg cycle. The TSI level of the current grand minimum is only about 0.15 W/m2 higher than the TSI level of the grand minimum in the beginning of the 18th century.

[Stringmeteo]

Martin Ecclestone:

The environmental and ecological risks associated with continued rapid global warming are well known, it’s happened before!
Did you know that over 99% of all species that ever lived on Earth are now extinct?
Throughout Earth’s history, life has been reshaped by catastrophic global changes. The “Big Five” mass extinction events were driven by climate shifts often linked to massive greenhouse gas emissions — primarily from volcanic activity — that warmed the planet rapidly.
But here’s the critical point:
Today’s rate of global warming — approximately 0.2°C per decade — is faster than nearly all of those past extinction-triggering events.
As shown in the graph above (from Nature Communications, 2021), only the most extreme and deadly extinctions approached the current warming rate — and those took place over much longer timescales.
Three of the Big Five extinctions — including the end-Permian (PT) and end-Triassic (TJ) — were caused by rapid global warming from natural greenhouse gas releases.
Today, we’re seeing the same process, but caused by humans — and happening faster.
Unless we change course, we are on track for a 6th mass extinction — not in geologic time, but within a few centuries or less.
What makes today’s situation even more dangerous?
• Positive feedbacks like Arctic ice melt, permafrost methane release, and increased water vapor are accelerating warming.
• Carbon capture technologies (CCUS) are nowhere near the scale needed to offset current fossil fuel emissions.
• Without rapid decarbonization, global warming will continue in lockstep with greenhouse gas emissions — just as physics dictates.
There’s no ideology in this. No politics.
The climate system doesn’t care about economic theories, political debates, or corporate interests.
It simply responds to radiative forcing — and the consequences are already unfolding.
Scientists have warned about this for decades. We are out of time for denial, distraction, or delay. The only question now is:
Will we act in time to avoid the worst?
⸻
Further reading and sources
(These reinforce the message with peer-reviewed science and mainstream journalism):

1. Tipping points in ocean ecosystems – The Guardian (2025)
https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... -ecologist
2. Rate and magnitude of climate change during the Phanerozoic – Nature Communications (2021)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25019-2
3. Mass extinctions – Our World in Data
https://ourworldindata.org/mass-extinctions
4. Causes of mass extinctions: Volcanism, warming, and methane – ScienceDirect
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/a ... 8216306915
5. Collapse of insect populations threatens ecosystems – The Guardian (2025)
https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... serves-aoe
6. Climate Endgame – Video overview (YouTube)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nq2QAVA32NM
7. Mediterranean Sea: Intense Med Sea heatwave raises fears for marine life
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g2v1l7j6yo

Earth’s extinction rate is far above the natural background level — and it’s accelerating.
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[bismarck]

Не просто алармистки глупости, а алармистки хубави, неколкодневни, мазни, добре ферментирали лайна.

[Stringmeteo]

Direct human measurement of sea temperature only dates back to roughly 1850, when sailors dipped buckets into the ocean. That’s why the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) uses 1850 and 1900 as its preindustrial baseline, according to the website Grist.





Oops, Scientists May Have Miscalculated Our Global Warming Timeline
Clues have emerged that reveal a much hotter history than we thought.
Dec 05, 2025

- The Paris Climate Accords in 2015 set an ambitious (and necessary) goal of keeping global temperatures at 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temps. But a study says we might’ve blown past that threshold several years ago.
- Scientists at the University Western Australia Oceans Institute studied long-lived Caribbean sclerosponges and created an ocean temperature timeline dating back to the 1700s.
- While the study claims that we surpassed 1.5 degrees Celsius in 2020, other scientists question if data from just one part of the world is enough to capture the immense thermal complexity of our oceans.

[Stringmeteo]

Earth is trapping more heat than it releases back into space, and new research suggests that changes in cloud cover are now playing a bigger role than air pollution in driving this growing energy imbalance.





Glaciers across the globe are melting faster than at any time in recorded history.

[Stringmeteo]

It is by understanding the climate of the past that we can see how much the climate of the present has changed.




New revelations in very old climate data
Exploring early temperature measurements, and a rundown of recent climate and communications data.
Chris Mooney | Jan 02, 2026

[Stringmeteo]

This is from data that was a year back, but if you’re wondering what the sea level rise rate is currently…

[Stringmeteo]

Ocean heat content is probably the best measure of how fast the planet is warming. Here is the updated graph through December 2025.

[Stringmeteo]

Climate change over the past 12,000 years

[bismarck]

Все едно, тъпунгерите и ДКрюгерите си знаят тяхното.
А и нали Путин каза, че от РАН му казАли, че ГъЗ-зат ще се смени с ГъЗ-аст

Между другото, като гледам тая графика, не смяташ ли, че ГЗ вероятно ни е спасило от поредния ЛП? А? На мен това преди абраптването на последното синьо ми прилича на симетрично на края на последния такъв. А и сме коментирали, че до 500-1000 години щяхме да се потопим в красотите на следващия ЛП с всички последствия. При това - забележи, нюансите са силно в полза на близкия тренд по нанадолнището...Демек, може и да не са 500 години, а 100-200.....
Значи - само дебили оспорват мен-мейдването на ГЗ. Чисти дебили и ненатоварени умствено люде.
Аз и ти зме в т.ч (не дебилите, а неоспорващите )

Но оттам мненията ни се разделят. Ти какво предпочиташ - невинната ледена Европа с Т до 10 градуса под сегашните и ледник до Карпатите (примерно) или сегашното положение? Съвсем честно. Даже не тук, поне пред себе си.

[Stringmeteo]

Climate ‘fingerprints’ mark human activity from the top of the atmosphere to the bottom of the ocean
February 3, 2026
The world is warming. This fact is most often discussed for the Earth’s surface, where we live. But the climate is also changing from the top of the atmosphere to the bottom of the ocean. And there is a clear fingerprint of humanity’s role in causing these changes through greenhouse gas emissions, primarily from burning fossil fuels.